Uh Oh - Time to Check the Numbers

Okay, so last post I was riding high on my picks based on absolutely no statistical proof. And this started to worry. Worry me as greatly as fantasy baseball can -which is somewhere between "did I leave my gym lock at home?" and "do khaki pants and a hawaiian shirt match?"

So rather than start the season feeling like Charles in Charge, I thought it would be a good exercise to compare projected stats for my drafted players and compare them to the average winning totals from a series of leagues last year.

So let's take a look...

Last year's averages:

AVG - .294

Runs - 925

HR - 250

RBI - 900

SB - 166

W - 100

SV - 118

K - 1200

ERA - 3.67

WHIP - 1.21

My team:

	Average	Run	HR	RBI	SB
Michael Barrett	0.292	57	17	62	0
Albert Pujols	0.331	127	47	125	9
Julio Lugo	0.292	85	9	58	22
Chad Tracy	0.286	81	21	79	4
Felipe Lopez	0.270	91	13	61	25
Grady Sizemore	0.287	118	27	88	19
Jermaine Dye	0.288	88	35	101	7
Alex Rios	0.286	70	16	73	14
Travis Hafner	0.302	98	39	112	1
Total:	0.293	815	224	759	101

Bench:

Alex Gordon	0.285	79	21	78	13
Willy Taveras	0.304	89	3	35	36
Josh Willingham	0.271	72	24	74	3

Pitching:

	Wins	Saves	K	ERA	WHIP
Dan Haren	15	0	163	3.98	1.24
Erik Bedard	14	0	160	3.81	1.34
B.J. Ryan	4	40	93	2.25	1.06
J.J. Putz	4	39	77	3.08	1.13
Brad Lidge	4	32	100	3.35	1.20
Jon Garland	14	0	111	4.39	1.33
A.J. Burnett	12	0	146	3.72	1.28
Total:	67	111	850	3.51	1.23

Bench

Dave Bush	13	0	142	3.95	1.21
Jonathan Broxton	4	7	85	2.93	1.20

The numbers seem to indicate I am somewhere towards the top and leads me to think that I should stay with my team right now and make some adjustments once the season starts - picking up "breakout players" and trying to ride some hot streaks like Secretariat at Belmont.

I should note that while my pitcher number projections are considerably lower compared to last year's winning numbers the reason for my lack of concern is that traditionally pitching projections are made on the conservative side.

So let me know what you think - what positions should I look to strengthen? Where are my strengths?